Lazio 3–1 Monza: Result & Analysis

Lazio beat Monza 3–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Lazio: 74%, Draw: 15%, Monza: 11%. Predicted scoreline was 2–0 (confidence 75%).

The model favours Lazio (75%) at home: they create 1.9 goals/game and Monza are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.7–1.0.

Head to Head

Lazio and Monza have met 3 times in the records we hold.

11 Oct 2026 — Lazio 3–1 Monza (2026/2027).

Scorers: Nuno Tavares 3', Gustav Isaksen 23', Saba Goglichidze 46', Andrea Pinamonti 88'.

9 Feb 2025 — Lazio 5–1 Monza (2024/2025).

10 Nov 2024 — Monza 0–1 Lazio (2024/2025).

Over the last 3 meetings Lazio hold the edge (3W · 0D · 0L), with Lazio winning 3 of 3 and averaging 3 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Lazio vs Monza: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Lazio vs Monza call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.