Lecce 1–2 Bologna: Result & Analysis

Bologna beat Lecce 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Lecce: 22%, Draw: 23%, Bologna: 55%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 55%).

The model favours Bologna (55%) away: they create 1.7 goals/game and Lecce are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.1–1.9.

Head to Head

Lecce and Bologna have met 5 times in the records we hold.

11 Oct 2026 — Lecce 1–2 Bologna (2026/2027).

Scorers: Riccardo Orsolini 17', Amar Fatah 64', Jay Enem 75'.

12 Apr 2026 — Bologna 2–0 Lecce (2025/2026).

Scorers: Remo Freuler 26', Riccardo Orsolini 90'.

28 Sep 2025 — Lecce 2–2 Bologna (2025/2026).

Scorers: Lassana Coulibaly 13', Jens Odgaard 71', Francesco Camarda  90'.

9 Feb 2025 — Lecce 0–0 Bologna (2024/2025).

2 Nov 2024 — Bologna 1–0 Lecce (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Bologna hold the edge (0W · 2D · 3L), with Lecce winning 0 of 5 (0%) and averaging 0.6 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Lecce vs Bologna: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Lecce vs Bologna call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.