Lecce 1–2 Genoa: Result & Analysis
Genoa beat Lecce 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Lecce: 29%, Draw: 28%, Genoa: 43%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 44%).
The model favours Genoa (44%) away: they create 1.2 goals/game and Lecce are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.0–1.3.
Head to Head
Lecce and Genoa have met 5 times in the records we hold.
1 Nov 2026 — Lecce 1–2 Genoa (2026/2027).
Scorers: Milutin Osmajic 11', Junior Messias 28', Youssef Maleh 40'.
24 May 2026 — Lecce 1–0 Genoa (2025/2026).
Scorers: Lameck Banda 6'.
23 Aug 2025 — Genoa 0–0 Lecce (2025/2026).
14 Mar 2025 — Genoa 2–1 Lecce (2024/2025).
5 Jan 2025 — Lecce 0–0 Genoa (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Genoa hold the edge (1W · 2D · 2L), with Lecce winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 0.6 goals per game.
Explore
More on Lecce vs Genoa: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Lecce vs Genoa call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.