Málaga 1–3 Villarreal: Result & Analysis

Villarreal beat Málaga 3–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Málaga: 25%, Draw: 25%, Villarreal: 50%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 50%).

The model favours Villarreal (50%) away: they create 1.3 goals/game and Málaga are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.1–1.6.

Head to Head

Málaga and Villarreal have met 1 times in the records we hold.

17 Sep 2026 — Málaga 1–3 Villarreal (2026/2027).

Scorers: Carlos Dotor 12', Alberto Moleiro 40', Pape Gueye 45', Carlos Romero 83'.

Over the last 1 meetings Villarreal hold the edge (0W · 0D · 1L), with Málaga winning 0 of 1 and averaging 1 goal per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Málaga vs Villarreal: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Málaga vs Villarreal call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.