Monaco 2–2 Toulouse: Result & Analysis

Monaco and Toulouse drew 2–2 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Monaco: 34%, Draw: 25%, Toulouse: 41%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 41%).

The model favours Toulouse (41%) away: they create 1.5 goals/game against Monaco's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.3–1.5.

Head to Head

Monaco and Toulouse have met 5 times in the records we hold.

10 Oct 2026 — Monaco 2–2 Toulouse (2026/2027).

Scorers: Edan Diop 29', Matthis Abline 38', Sion Oppong 59'.

25 Apr 2026 — Toulouse 2–2 Monaco (2025/2026).

Scorers: J. Teze 6', Lamine Camara 18', Jacen Russell-Rowe 61', Emersonn 90'.

25 Oct 2025 — Monaco 1–0 Toulouse (2025/2026).

Scorers: Mohammed Salisu 3'.

7 Mar 2025 — Toulouse 1–1 Monaco (2024/2025).

7 Dec 2024 — Monaco 2–0 Toulouse (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Monaco hold the edge (2W · 3D · 0L), with Monaco winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Monaco vs Toulouse: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Monaco vs Toulouse call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.