Montpellier 1–4 Paris Saint Germain: Result & Analysis

Paris Saint Germain beat Montpellier 4–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Montpellier: 4%, Draw: 8%, Paris Saint Germain: 88%. Predicted scoreline was 0–3 (confidence 88%).

The model favours Paris Saint Germain (88%) away: they create 2.5 goals/game and Montpellier are leaking goals (2.0 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 0.6–3.3.

Head to Head

Montpellier and Paris Saint Germain have met 2 times in the records we hold.

10 May 2025 — Montpellier 1–4 Paris Saint Germain (2024/2025).

23 Aug 2024 — Paris Saint Germain 6–0 Montpellier (2024/2025).

Over the last 2 meetings Paris Saint Germain hold the edge (0W · 0D · 2L), with Montpellier winning 0 of 2 and averaging 0.5 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Montpellier vs Paris Saint Germain: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Montpellier vs Paris Saint Germain call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.