Monza 0–1 Atalanta: Result & Analysis

Atalanta beat Monza 1–0 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Monza: 49%, Draw: 21%, Atalanta: 30%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 49%).

The model favours Monza (49%) at home: they create 1.5 goals/game and Atalanta are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.2–1.7.

Head to Head

Monza and Atalanta have met 3 times in the records we hold.

8 Nov 2026 — Monza 0–1 Atalanta (2026/2027).

Scorers: Nikola Krstović 49'.

4 May 2025 — Monza 0–4 Atalanta (2024/2025).

30 Oct 2024 — Atalanta 2–0 Monza (2024/2025).

Over the last 3 meetings Atalanta hold the edge (0W · 0D · 3L), with Monza winning 0 of 3 and averaging 0 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Monza vs Atalanta: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Monza vs Atalanta call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.