Monza 4–0 Cagliari: Result & Analysis

Monza beat Cagliari 4–0 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Monza: 67%, Draw: 18%, Cagliari: 15%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 66%).

The model favours Monza (66%) at home: they create 1.5 goals/game and Cagliari are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.3–1.0.

Head to Head

Monza and Cagliari have met 3 times in the records we hold.

19 Oct 2026 — Monza 4–0 Cagliari (2026/2027).

Scorers: Eddy Kouadio 39', Gustavo Varela 47', Jay Robinson 66', Gustavo Varela 79'.

30 Mar 2025 — Cagliari 3–0 Monza (2024/2025).

5 Jan 2025 — Monza 1–2 Cagliari (2024/2025).

Over the last 3 meetings Cagliari hold the edge (1W · 0D · 2L), with Monza winning 1 of 3 and averaging 1.7 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Monza vs Cagliari: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Monza vs Cagliari call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.