Napoli 2–3 Bologna: Result & Analysis

Bologna beat Napoli 3–2 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Napoli: 45%, Draw: 23%, Bologna: 32%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 44%).

The model favours Napoli (44%) at home: they create 1.5 goals/game against Bologna's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.7–1.4.

Head to Head

Napoli and Bologna have met 5 times in the records we hold.

13 Sep 2026 — Napoli 1–0 Bologna (2026/2027).

Scorers: Arthur Theate 7', Stanislav Lobotka 66'.

11 May 2026 — Napoli 2–3 Bologna (2025/2026).

Scorers: Federico Bernardeschi 9', Giovanni Di Lorenzo  45', Alisson Santos 48', Jonathan Rowe 90'.

9 Nov 2025 — Bologna 2–0 Napoli (2025/2026).

Scorers: Thijs Dallinga 50', Jhon Lucumí 66'.

7 Apr 2025 — Bologna 1–1 Napoli (2024/2025).

25 Aug 2024 — Napoli 3–0 Bologna (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 1D · 2L), with Napoli winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Napoli vs Bologna: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Napoli vs Bologna call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.