Napoli 1–1 Lazio: Result & Analysis

Napoli and Lazio drew 1–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Napoli: 30%, Draw: 24%, Lazio: 46%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 46%).

The model favours Lazio (46%) away: they create 1.9 goals/game against Napoli's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.3–1.7.

Head to Head

Napoli and Lazio have met 5 times in the records we hold.

8 Nov 2026 — Napoli 1–1 Lazio (2026/2027).

Scorers: Davide Frattesi 28', Alfonso Pedraza 48'.

18 Apr 2026 — Napoli 0–2 Lazio (2025/2026).

Scorers: Matteo Cancellieri 6', Toma Bašić 57'.

4 Jan 2026 — Lazio 0–2 Napoli (2025/2026).

Scorers: Leonardo Spinazzola 13', Amir Rrahmani  32'.

15 Feb 2025 — Lazio 2–2 Napoli (2024/2025).

8 Dec 2024 — Napoli 0–1 Lazio (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Lazio hold the edge (1W · 2D · 2L), with Napoli winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1 goal per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Napoli vs Lazio: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Napoli vs Lazio call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.