Napoli 3–3 Roma: Result & Analysis

Napoli and Roma drew 3–3 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Napoli: 25%, Draw: 20%, Roma: 55%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 55%).

The model favours Roma (55%) away: they create 2.6 goals/game against Napoli's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.5–2.2.

Head to Head

Napoli and Roma have met 5 times in the records we hold.

24 Oct 2026 — Napoli 3–3 Roma (2026/2027).

Scorers: Frank Anguissa 28', Scott McTominay 48', Matías Soulé 69', Leonardo Balerdi 74'.

15 Feb 2026 — Napoli 2–2 Roma (2025/2026).

Scorers: Donyell Malen 7', Leonardo Spinazzola 40', Alisson Santos 82'.

30 Nov 2025 — Roma 0–1 Napoli (2025/2026).

Scorers: David Neres  36'.

2 Feb 2025 — Roma 1–1 Napoli (2024/2025).

24 Nov 2024 — Napoli 1–0 Roma (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Napoli hold the edge (2W · 3D · 0L), with Napoli winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Napoli vs Roma: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Napoli vs Roma call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.