Olympique Marseille 4–3 Le Havre: Result & Analysis

Olympique Marseille beat Le Havre 4–3 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Olympique Marseille: 90%, Draw: 7%, Le Havre: 3%. Predicted scoreline was 4–0 (confidence 90%).

The model favours Olympique Marseille (90%) at home: they create 2.4 goals/game and Le Havre are leaking goals (2.1 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 4.0–0.8.

Head to Head

Olympique Marseille and Le Havre have met 5 times in the records we hold.

25 Oct 2026 — Olympique Marseille 4–3 Le Havre (2026/2027).

Scorers: CJ Egan-Riley 5', Timothy Weah 33', Igor Paixão 50', Himad Abdelli 55'.

10 May 2026 — Le Havre 0–1 Olympique Marseille (2025/2026).

18 Oct 2025 — Olympique Marseille 6–2 Le Havre (2025/2026).

Scorers: Yassine Kechta 24', Mason Greenwood 67', Mason Greenwood 72', Mason Greenwood 76'.

10 May 2025 — Le Havre 1–3 Olympique Marseille (2024/2025).

5 Jan 2025 — Olympique Marseille 5–1 Le Havre (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Olympique Marseille hold the edge (5W · 0D · 0L), with Olympique Marseille winning 5 of 5 (100%) and averaging 3.8 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.