Olympique Marseille 5–1 Montpellier: Result & Analysis

Olympique Marseille beat Montpellier 5–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Olympique Marseille: 90%, Draw: 7%, Montpellier: 3%. Predicted scoreline was 3–0 (confidence 90%).

The model favours Olympique Marseille (90%) at home: they create 2.4 goals/game and Montpellier are leaking goals (2.0 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 4.0–0.8.

Head to Head

Olympique Marseille and Montpellier have met 2 times in the records we hold.

19 Apr 2025 — Olympique Marseille 5–1 Montpellier (2024/2025).

20 Oct 2024 — Montpellier 0–5 Olympique Marseille (2024/2025).

Over the last 2 meetings Olympique Marseille hold the edge (2W · 0D · 0L), with Olympique Marseille winning 2 of 2 and averaging 5 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Olympique Marseille vs Montpellier: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Olympique Marseille vs Montpellier call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.