Olympique Marseille 2–3 Paris: Result & Analysis
Paris beat Olympique Marseille 3–2 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Olympique Marseille: 64%, Draw: 17%, Paris: 19%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 64%).
The model favours Olympique Marseille (64%) at home: they create 2.4 goals/game against Paris's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.7–1.4.
Head to Head
Olympique Marseille and Paris have met 3 times in the records we hold.
6 Sep 2026 — Olympique Marseille 2–3 Paris (2026/2027).
Scorers: Lassine Sinayoko 1', Amine Gouiri 8', Lassine Sinayoko 19', Amine Gouiri 53'.
31 Jan 2026 — Paris 2–2 Olympique Marseille (2025/2026).
Scorers: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 53', Jonathan Ikoné 82'.
23 Aug 2025 — Olympique Marseille 5–2 Paris (2025/2026).
Scorers: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 24', Ilan Kebbal 28', Moses Simon 58', Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 73'.
Over the last 3 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (1W · 1D · 1L), with Olympique Marseille winning 1 of 3 and averaging 3 goals per game.
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More on Olympique Marseille vs Paris: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Olympique Marseille vs Paris call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.