Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano: Result & Analysis

Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Osasuna: 37%, Draw: 27%, Rayo Vallecano: 36%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 37%).

The model favours Osasuna (37%) at home: they create 1.2 goals/game against Rayo Vallecano's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.3–1.3.

Head to Head

Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano have met 5 times in the records we hold.

19 Sep 2026 — Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano (2026/2027).

Scorers: Ante Budimir 16', Sergio Camello 50'.

24 Jan 2026 — Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna (2025/2026).

Scorers: Ante Budimir 29', Pathé Ciss 59', Asier Osambela 90', Jozhua Vertrouwd 90'.

14 Sep 2025 — Osasuna 2–0 Rayo Vallecano (2025/2026).

Scorers: Raúl García 15', Iker Benito 77'.

19 Jan 2025 — Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano (2024/2025).

Scorers: Sergio Camello 19', Raúl García 59'.

16 Sep 2024 — Rayo Vallecano 3–1 Osasuna (2024/2025).

Scorers: Raúl García 27', Abdul Mumin 50', Andrei Rațiu 66', Unai López 90'.

Over the last 5 meetings Osasuna hold the edge (2W · 2D · 1L), with Osasuna winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.