Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Troyes: Result & Analysis

Paris Saint Germain beat Troyes 1–0 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Paris Saint Germain: 83%, Draw: 12%, Troyes: 5%. Predicted scoreline was 2–0 (confidence 83%).

The model favours Paris Saint Germain (83%) at home: they create 2.5 goals/game against Troyes's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.7–0.5.

Head to Head

Paris Saint Germain and Troyes have met 1 times in the records we hold.

7 Nov 2026 — Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Troyes (2026/2027).

Scorers: Ilya Zabarnyi 39'.

Over the last 1 meetings Paris Saint Germain hold the edge (1W · 0D · 0L), with Paris Saint Germain winning 1 of 1 and averaging 1 goal per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.