Paris 4–3 Rennes: Result & Analysis

Paris beat Rennes 4–3 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Paris: 52%, Draw: 19%, Rennes: 29%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 52%).

The model favours Paris (52%) at home: they create 1.6 goals/game and Rennes are leaking goals (2.0 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.6–1.9.

Head to Head

Paris and Rennes have met 3 times in the records we hold.

18 Oct 2026 — Paris 4–3 Rennes (2026/2027).

Scorers: Maxime Lopez 14', Maxime Lopez 45', Sebastian Szymański 51', Lassine Sinayoko 76'.

10 May 2026 — Rennes 2–1 Paris (2025/2026).

Scorers: Willem Geubbels 53', Estéban Lepaul 74', Breel Embolo 75'.

7 Nov 2025 — Paris 0–1 Rennes (2025/2026).

Scorers: Breel Embolo 81'.

Over the last 3 meetings Rennes hold the edge (1W · 0D · 2L), with Paris winning 1 of 3 and averaging 1.7 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Paris vs Rennes: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Paris vs Rennes call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.