Parma 2–1 Genoa: Result & Analysis

Parma beat Genoa 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Parma: 31%, Draw: 31%, Genoa: 38%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 38%).

The model favours Genoa (38%) away: they create 1.2 goals/game against Parma's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 0.9–1.0.

Head to Head

Parma and Genoa have met 5 times in the records we hold.

20 Sep 2026 — Parma 2–1 Genoa (2026/2027).

Scorers: David Romero 38', Milutin Osmajic 70', Pontus Almqvist 80'.

18 Jan 2026 — Parma 0–0 Genoa (2025/2026).

19 Oct 2025 — Genoa 0–0 Parma (2025/2026).

12 Jan 2025 — Genoa 1–0 Parma (2024/2025).

4 Nov 2024 — Parma 0–1 Genoa (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Genoa hold the edge (1W · 2D · 2L), with Parma winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 0.4 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Parma vs Genoa: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Parma vs Genoa call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.