Parma 1–0 Sassuolo: Result & Analysis

Parma beat Sassuolo 1–0 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Parma: 52%, Draw: 24%, Sassuolo: 24%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 52%).

The model favours Parma (52%) at home: they create 0.9 goals/game and Sassuolo are leaking goals (2.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.7–1.1.

Head to Head

Parma and Sassuolo have met 2 times in the records we hold.

24 May 2026 — Parma 1–0 Sassuolo (2025/2026).

Scorers: Mateo Pellegrino 80'.

3 Jan 2026 — Sassuolo 1–1 Parma (2025/2026).

Scorers: Kristian Thorstvedt 12', Mateo Pellegrino 24'.

Over the last 2 meetings Parma hold the edge (1W · 1D · 0L), with Parma winning 1 of 2 and averaging 1 goal per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Parma vs Sassuolo: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Parma vs Sassuolo call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.