Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Deportivo Alavés: Result & Analysis
Rayo Vallecano and Deportivo Alavés drew 1–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Rayo Vallecano: 57%, Draw: 24%, Deportivo Alavés: 19%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 57%).
The model favours Rayo Vallecano (57%) at home: they create 1.1 goals/game and Deportivo Alavés are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.7–0.9.
Head to Head
Rayo Vallecano and Deportivo Alavés have met 5 times in the records we hold.
20 Aug 2026 — Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Deportivo Alavés (2026/2027).
Scorers: Pelayo Fernández 35', Sergio Camello 48', Mariano Díaz 84'.
23 May 2026 — Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Rayo Vallecano (2025/2026).
Scorers: Toni Martínez 13', Sergio Camello 73', Randy Nteka 90'.
26 Oct 2025 — Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Deportivo Alavés (2025/2026).
Scorers: Alexandre Zurawski 90'.
29 Mar 2025 — Deportivo Alavés 0–2 Rayo Vallecano (2024/2025).
Scorers: Pathé Ciss 2', Pedro Díaz 58'.
26 Oct 2024 — Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Deportivo Alavés (2024/2025).
Scorers: Antonio Sivera 80'.
Over the last 5 meetings Rayo Vallecano hold the edge (4W · 1D · 0L), with Rayo Vallecano winning 4 of 5 (80%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.
Explore
More on Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alavés call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.