Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Match Centre

Rayo Vallecano face Valencia in the La Liga. Everything on Rayo Vallecano against Valencia in one place: the head-to-head record, the model's read and where to find the rest.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Rayo Vallecano: 49%, Draw: 28%, Valencia: 23%. Predicted scoreline: 1–0 (confidence 49%).

The model favours Rayo Vallecano (49%) at home: they create 1.1 goals/game against Valencia's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.3–0.8.

Head to Head

Rayo Vallecano and Valencia have met 4 times in the records we hold.

14 May 2026 — Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano (2025/2026).

Scorers: Florian Lejeune 20', Diego López 40'.

1 Dec 2025 — Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Valencia (2025/2026).

Scorers: Nobel Mendy 37', Diego López 64'.

19 Apr 2025 — Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Valencia (2024/2025).

Scorers: César Tárrega 45', Umar Sadiq 75'.

7 Dec 2024 — Valencia 0–1 Rayo Vallecano (2024/2025).

Scorers: Pathé Ciss 7'.

Over the last 4 meetings Rayo Vallecano hold the edge (1W · 3D · 0L), with Rayo Vallecano winning 1 of 4 and averaging 1 goal per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

This is the Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia match centre. The score prediction, odds analysis, model picks, referee record and squad comparison each have their own page.