RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburger SV: Result & Analysis

RB Leipzig beat Hamburger SV 5–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — RB Leipzig: 82%, Draw: 10%, Hamburger SV: 8%. Predicted scoreline was 4–1 (confidence 82%).

The model favours RB Leipzig (82%) at home: they create 2.9 goals/game and Hamburger SV are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 4.0–1.4.

Head to Head

RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV have met 3 times in the records we hold.

13 Sep 2026 — RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburger SV (2026/2027).

Scorers: Tidiam Gomis 17', Antonio Nusa 28', Willi Orbán 72', Christopher Nkunku 74'.

1 Mar 2026 — Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig (2025/2026).

Scorers: Fábio Vieira 22', Rômulo 36', Yan Diomande 50'.

18 Oct 2025 — RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV (2025/2026).

Scorers: Christoph Baumgartner 45', Albert Sambi Lokonga 48', Christoph Baumgartner 50'.

Over the last 3 meetings RB Leipzig hold the edge (3W · 0D · 0L), with RB Leipzig winning 3 of 3 and averaging 3 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.