RB Leipzig 2–1 St. Pauli: Result & Analysis
RB Leipzig beat St. Pauli 2–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — RB Leipzig: 91%, Draw: 6%, St. Pauli: 3%. Predicted scoreline was 4–0 (confidence 91%).
The model favours RB Leipzig (91%) at home: they create 2.9 goals/game and St. Pauli are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 4.0–0.7.
Head to Head
RB Leipzig and St. Pauli have met 4 times in the records we hold.
9 May 2026 — RB Leipzig 2–1 St. Pauli (2025/2026).
Scorers: Xaver Schlager 45', Willi Orbán 54', Abdoulie Ceesay 86'.
27 Jan 2026 — St. Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig (2025/2026).
Scorers: Yan Diomande 66'.
9 Feb 2025 — RB Leipzig 2–0 St. Pauli (2024/2025).
22 Sep 2024 — St. Pauli 0–0 RB Leipzig (2024/2025).
Over the last 4 meetings RB Leipzig hold the edge (2W · 2D · 0L), with RB Leipzig winning 2 of 4 and averaging 1.2 goals per game.
Explore
More on RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every RB Leipzig vs St. Pauli call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.