Real Sociedad 1–0 Rayo Vallecano: Result & Analysis
Real Sociedad beat Rayo Vallecano 1–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Real Sociedad: 62%, Draw: 20%, Rayo Vallecano: 18%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 62%).
The model favours Real Sociedad (62%) at home: they create 2.0 goals/game against Rayo Vallecano's 1.3 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.2–1.1.
Head to Head
Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano have met 5 times in the records we hold.
8 Nov 2026 — Real Sociedad 1–0 Rayo Vallecano (2026/2027).
Scorers: Orri Óskarsson 67'.
26 Apr 2026 — Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real Sociedad (2025/2026).
Scorers: Mikel Oyarzabal 22', Sergio Camello 30', Orri Óskarsson 63', Florian Lejeune 84'.
5 Oct 2025 — Real Sociedad 0–1 Rayo Vallecano (2025/2026).
Scorers: Alfonso Espino 84'.
16 Mar 2025 — Rayo Vallecano 2–2 Real Sociedad (2024/2025).
Scorers: Martín Zubimendi 20', Oscar Trejo 58', Pedro Díaz 72', Arkaitz Mariezkurrena 80'.
18 Aug 2024 — Real Sociedad 1–2 Rayo Vallecano (2024/2025).
Scorers: Jorge de Frutos 67', Sergio Camello 84', Martín Zubimendi 90'.
Over the last 5 meetings Rayo Vallecano hold the edge (1W · 2D · 2L), with Real Sociedad winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1.4 goals per game.
Explore
More on Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.