Roma 2–1 Atalanta: Result & Analysis
Roma beat Atalanta 2–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Roma: 84%, Draw: 9%, Atalanta: 7%. Predicted scoreline was 3–1 (confidence 84%).
The model favours Roma (84%) at home: they create 2.6 goals/game and Atalanta are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 3.8–1.1.
Head to Head
Roma and Atalanta have met 5 times in the records we hold.
5 Sep 2026 — Roma 2–1 Atalanta (2026/2027).
Scorers: Éderson 47', Mario Hermoso 89', Matías Soulé 90'.
18 Apr 2026 — Roma 1–1 Atalanta (2025/2026).
Scorers: Nikola Krstović 12', Mario Hermoso 45'.
3 Jan 2026 — Atalanta 1–0 Roma (2025/2026).
Scorers: Giorgio Scalvini 12'.
12 May 2025 — Atalanta 2–1 Roma (2024/2025).
2 Dec 2024 — Roma 0–2 Atalanta (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Atalanta hold the edge (1W · 1D · 3L), with Roma winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 0.8 goals per game.
Explore
More on Roma vs Atalanta: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Roma vs Atalanta call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.