Roma 4–0 Fiorentina: Result & Analysis

Roma beat Fiorentina 4–0 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Roma: 85%, Draw: 9%, Fiorentina: 6%. Predicted scoreline was 4–1 (confidence 85%).

The model favours Roma (85%) at home: they create 2.6 goals/game and Fiorentina are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 4.0–1.2.

Head to Head

Roma and Fiorentina have met 5 times in the records we hold.

24 Aug 2026 — Roma 4–0 Fiorentina (2026/2027).

Scorers: Donyell Malen 27', Donyell Malen 52', Donyell Malen 60', Niccolò Pisilli  86'.

4 May 2026 — Roma 4–0 Fiorentina (2025/2026).

Scorers: Gianluca Mancini 13', Wesley 17', Mario Hermoso 34', Niccolò Pisilli 58'.

5 Oct 2025 — Fiorentina 1–2 Roma (2025/2026).

Scorers: Moise Kean 14', Matías Soulé 22', Bryan Cristante 30'.

4 May 2025 — Roma 1–0 Fiorentina (2024/2025).

27 Oct 2024 — Fiorentina 5–1 Roma (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Roma hold the edge (4W · 0D · 1L), with Roma winning 4 of 5 (80%) and averaging 2.4 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Roma vs Fiorentina: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Roma vs Fiorentina call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.