Roma 2–0 Genoa: Result & Analysis

Roma beat Genoa 2–0 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Roma: 75%, Draw: 15%, Genoa: 10%. Predicted scoreline was 2–0 (confidence 75%).

The model favours Roma (75%) at home: they create 2.6 goals/game against Genoa's 1.2 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.6–0.9.

Head to Head

Roma and Genoa have met 5 times in the records we hold.

17 Oct 2026 — Roma 2–0 Genoa (2026/2027).

Scorers: Santiago Castro 50', Emanuele Lulli 68'.

8 Mar 2026 — Genoa 2–1 Roma (2025/2026).

Scorers: Evan Ndicka 55', Vitinha 80'.

29 Dec 2025 — Roma 3–1 Genoa (2025/2026).

Scorers: Matías Soulé 14', Manu Koné 19', Evan Ferguson 31', Jeff Ekhator 87'.

17 Jan 2025 — Roma 3–1 Genoa (2024/2025).

15 Sep 2024 — Genoa 1–1 Roma (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Roma hold the edge (3W · 1D · 1L), with Roma winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 2 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Roma vs Genoa: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Roma vs Genoa call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.