Saint-Étienne 2–3 Toulouse: Result & Analysis

Toulouse beat Saint-Étienne 3–2 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Saint-Étienne: 35%, Draw: 23%, Toulouse: 42%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 42%).

The model favours Toulouse (42%) away: they create 1.5 goals/game and Saint-Étienne are leaking goals (1.7 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.5–1.7.

Head to Head

Saint-Étienne and Toulouse have met 2 times in the records we hold.

17 May 2025 — Saint-Étienne 2–3 Toulouse (2024/2025).

13 Dec 2024 — Toulouse 2–1 Saint-Étienne (2024/2025).

Over the last 2 meetings Toulouse hold the edge (0W · 0D · 2L), with Saint-Étienne winning 0 of 2 and averaging 1.5 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Saint-Étienne vs Toulouse call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.