Sassuolo 2–4 Fiorentina: Result & Analysis

Fiorentina beat Sassuolo 4–2 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Sassuolo: 32%, Draw: 19%, Fiorentina: 49%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 49%).

The model favours Fiorentina (49%) away: they create 1.6 goals/game and Sassuolo are leaking goals (2.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.9–2.4.

Head to Head

Sassuolo and Fiorentina have met 3 times in the records we hold.

2 Nov 2026 — Sassuolo 2–4 Fiorentina (2026/2027).

Scorers: Armand Laurienté 25', Mateo Pellegrino 45', Alieu Njie 50', Armand Laurienté 65'.

26 Apr 2026 — Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo (2025/2026).

6 Dec 2025 — Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina (2025/2026).

Scorers: Cristian Volpato 13', Tarik Muharemović 45', Ismaël Koné 65'.

Over the last 3 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (1W · 1D · 1L), with Sassuolo winning 1 of 3 and averaging 1.7 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Sassuolo vs Fiorentina: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Sassuolo vs Fiorentina call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.