SC Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig: Result & Analysis

SC Freiburg beat RB Leipzig 4–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — SC Freiburg: 27%, Draw: 17%, RB Leipzig: 56%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 56%).

The model favours RB Leipzig (56%) away: they create 2.9 goals/game against SC Freiburg's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 2.1–2.9.

Head to Head

SC Freiburg and RB Leipzig have met 4 times in the records we hold.

16 May 2026 — SC Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig (2025/2026).

Scorers: Niklas Beste 24', Igor Matanovic 26', Assan Ouédraogo 33', Matthias Ginter 47'.

14 Jan 2026 — RB Leipzig 2–0 SC Freiburg (2025/2026).

Scorers: Willi Orbán 53', Rômulo 56'.

8 Mar 2025 — SC Freiburg 0–0 RB Leipzig (2024/2025).

26 Oct 2024 — RB Leipzig 3–1 SC Freiburg (2024/2025).

Over the last 4 meetings RB Leipzig hold the edge (1W · 1D · 2L), with SC Freiburg winning 1 of 4 and averaging 1.2 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.