Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05: Result & Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 beat Schalke 04 1–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Schalke 04: 40%, Draw: 24%, FSV Mainz 05: 36%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 40%).

The model favours Schalke 04 (40%) at home: they create 0.9 goals/game and FSV Mainz 05 are leaking goals (2.1 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.6–1.5.

Head to Head

Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05 have met 1 times in the records we hold.

17 Oct 2026 — Schalke 04 0–1 FSV Mainz 05 (2026/2027).

Scorers: Phillip Tietz 24'.

Over the last 1 meetings FSV Mainz 05 hold the edge (0W · 0D · 1L), with Schalke 04 winning 0 of 1 and averaging 0 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.