Sevilla 1–0 Valencia: Result & Analysis

Sevilla beat Valencia 1–0 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Sevilla: 47%, Draw: 25%, Valencia: 28%. Predicted scoreline was 1–0 (confidence 47%).

The model favours Sevilla (47%) at home: they create 1.3 goals/game against Valencia's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.5–1.1.

Head to Head

Sevilla and Valencia have met 5 times in the records we hold.

11 Sep 2026 — Sevilla 1–0 Valencia (2026/2027).

Scorers: Juan Iglesias 81'.

21 Mar 2026 — Sevilla 0–2 Valencia (2025/2026).

Scorers: Hugo Duro 38', Largie Ramazani 45'.

7 Dec 2025 — Valencia 1–1 Sevilla (2025/2026).

Scorers: César Tárrega 58', Hugo Duro 90'.

11 Apr 2025 — Valencia 1–0 Sevilla (2024/2025).

Scorers: Javi Guerra 45'.

11 Jan 2025 — Sevilla 1–1 Valencia (2024/2025).

Scorers: Luis Rioja 61', Adrià Pedrosa 90'.

Over the last 5 meetings Valencia hold the edge (1W · 2D · 2L), with Sevilla winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 0.6 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Sevilla vs Valencia: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Sevilla vs Valencia call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.