St. Pauli 1–1 FC Köln: Result & Analysis

St. Pauli and FC Köln drew 1–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — St. Pauli: 25%, Draw: 27%, FC Köln: 48%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 47%).

The model favours FC Köln (47%) away: they create 1.1 goals/game and St. Pauli are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 0.9–1.4.

Head to Head

St. Pauli and FC Köln have met 2 times in the records we hold.

17 Apr 2026 — St. Pauli 1–1 FC Köln (2025/2026).

Scorers: Karol Mets 69'.

6 Dec 2025 — FC Köln 1–1 St. Pauli (2025/2026).

Scorers: Said El Mala 51', Ricky-Jade Jones 90'.

Over the last 2 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (0W · 2D · 0L), with St. Pauli winning 0 of 2 and averaging 1 goal per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on St. Pauli vs FC Köln: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every St. Pauli vs FC Köln call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.