Toulouse 3–1 Strasbourg: Result & Analysis
Toulouse beat Strasbourg 3–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Toulouse: 64%, Draw: 18%, Strasbourg: 18%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 64%).
The model favours Toulouse (64%) at home: they create 1.5 goals/game and Strasbourg are leaking goals (2.0 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.5–1.3.
Head to Head
Toulouse and Strasbourg have met 5 times in the records we hold.
6 Nov 2026 — Toulouse 3–1 Strasbourg (2026/2027).
Scorers: Santiago Hidalgo 45', Mark McKenzie 56', Giovanni Reyna 67', Thomas Jørgensen 76'.
3 May 2026 — Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse (2025/2026).
Scorers: Samuel Amo-Ameyaw 27', Dayann Methalie 43', Emersonn 84'.
6 Dec 2025 — Toulouse 1–0 Strasbourg (2025/2026).
Scorers: Emersonn 18'.
16 Mar 2025 — Strasbourg 2–1 Toulouse (2024/2025).
12 Jan 2025 — Toulouse 1–2 Strasbourg (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Toulouse hold the edge (3W · 0D · 2L), with Toulouse winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.
Explore
More on Toulouse vs Strasbourg: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Toulouse vs Strasbourg call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.