TSG Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Result & Analysis

TSG Hoffenheim beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — TSG Hoffenheim: 58%, Draw: 17%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 25%. Predicted scoreline was 3–2 (confidence 58%).

The model favours TSG Hoffenheim (58%) at home: they create 1.9 goals/game and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are leaking goals (1.9 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 3.1–2.1.

Head to Head

TSG Hoffenheim and Bayer 04 Leverkusen have met 5 times in the records we hold.

25 Oct 2026 — TSG Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2026/2027).

Scorers: Alexander Prass 89', Max Moerstedt 90'.

17 Jan 2026 — TSG Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2025/2026).

Scorers: Wouter Burger 9'.

23 Aug 2025 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 TSG Hoffenheim (2025/2026).

Scorers: Jarell Quansah  6', Fisnik Asllani 25', Tim Lemperle 52'.

2 Feb 2025 — Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 TSG Hoffenheim (2024/2025).

14 Sep 2024 — TSG Hoffenheim 1–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings TSG Hoffenheim hold the edge (3W · 0D · 2L), with TSG Hoffenheim winning 3 of 5 (60%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.