TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburger SV: Result & Analysis
Hamburger SV beat TSG Hoffenheim 3–2 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — TSG Hoffenheim: 63%, Draw: 18%, Hamburger SV: 19%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 64%).
The model favours TSG Hoffenheim (64%) at home: they create 1.9 goals/game and Hamburger SV are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.6–1.4.
Head to Head
TSG Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV have met 3 times in the records we hold.
10 Oct 2026 — TSG Hoffenheim 2–3 Hamburger SV (2026/2027).
Scorers: Yussuf Poulsen 12', Bambasé Conté 45', Sebastiaan Bornauw 45', Bambasé Conté 53'.
25 Apr 2026 — Hamburger SV 1–2 TSG Hoffenheim (2025/2026).
Scorers: Fisnik Asllani 18', Tim Lemperle 45'.
13 Dec 2025 — TSG Hoffenheim 4–1 Hamburger SV (2025/2026).
Scorers: Grischa Prömel 8', Ozan Kabak 31', Tim Lemperle 65', Fisnik Asllani 72'.
Over the last 3 meetings TSG Hoffenheim hold the edge (2W · 0D · 1L), with TSG Hoffenheim winning 2 of 3 and averaging 2.7 goals per game.
Explore
More on TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.