Valencia 3–1 FC Barcelona: Result & Analysis
Valencia beat FC Barcelona 3–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Valencia: 8%, Draw: 13%, FC Barcelona: 79%. Predicted scoreline was 0–2 (confidence 79%).
The model favours FC Barcelona (79%) away: they create 3.0 goals/game against Valencia's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 0.8–2.9.
Head to Head
Valencia and FC Barcelona have met 5 times in the records we hold.
6 Sep 2026 — Valencia 0–5 FC Barcelona (2026/2027).
Scorers: Lamine Yamal 6', Fermín López 22', Raphinha 50', Pedri 79'.
23 May 2026 — Valencia 3–1 FC Barcelona (2025/2026).
Scorers: Robert Lewandowski 61', Javi Guerra 66', Luis Rioja 71', Guido Rodríguez 90'.
14 Sep 2025 — FC Barcelona 6–0 Valencia (2025/2026).
Scorers: Fermín López 29', Raphinha 53', Fermín López 56', Raphinha 66'.
26 Jan 2025 — FC Barcelona 7–1 Valencia (2024/2025).
Scorers: Frenkie de Jong 3', Ferran Torres 8', Raphinha 14', Fermín López 24'.
17 Aug 2024 — Valencia 1–2 FC Barcelona (2024/2025).
Scorers: Hugo Duro 44', Robert Lewandowski 45'.
Over the last 5 meetings FC Barcelona hold the edge (1W · 0D · 4L), with Valencia winning 1 of 5 (20%) and averaging 1 goal per game.
Explore
More on Valencia vs FC Barcelona: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Valencia vs FC Barcelona call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.