Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano: Result & Analysis

Valencia and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Valencia: 34%, Draw: 30%, Rayo Vallecano: 36%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 35%).

The model favours Rayo Vallecano (35%) away: they create 1.1 goals/game against Valencia's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.0–1.0.

Head to Head

Valencia and Rayo Vallecano have met 4 times in the records we hold.

14 May 2026 — Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano (2025/2026).

Scorers: Florian Lejeune 20', Diego López 40'.

1 Dec 2025 — Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Valencia (2025/2026).

Scorers: Nobel Mendy 37', Diego López 64'.

19 Apr 2025 — Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Valencia (2024/2025).

Scorers: César Tárrega 45', Umar Sadiq 75'.

7 Dec 2024 — Valencia 0–1 Rayo Vallecano (2024/2025).

Scorers: Pathé Ciss 7'.

Over the last 4 meetings Rayo Vallecano hold the edge (0W · 3D · 1L), with Valencia winning 0 of 4 and averaging 0.8 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.