Valencia 2–3 Real Sociedad: Result & Analysis

Real Sociedad beat Valencia 3–2 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Valencia: 24%, Draw: 22%, Real Sociedad: 54%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 54%).

The model favours Real Sociedad (54%) away: they create 2.0 goals/game against Valencia's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.2–1.9.

Head to Head

Valencia and Real Sociedad have met 5 times in the records we hold.

20 Sep 2026 — Valencia 2–3 Real Sociedad (2026/2027).

Scorers: Luka Sucic 26', Aaron Ndive Mayol de la Cueva 57', Luken Beitia 84', Ander Barrenetxea 90'.

17 May 2026 — Real Sociedad 3–4 Valencia (2025/2026).

Scorers: Aihen Muñoz 3', Javi Guerra 8', Hugo Duro 22', César Tárrega 60'.

16 Aug 2025 — Valencia 1–1 Real Sociedad (2025/2026).

Scorers: Diego López 57', Takefusa Kubo 60'.

19 Jan 2025 — Valencia 1–0 Real Sociedad (2024/2025).

Scorers: Hugo Duro 26'.

28 Sep 2024 — Real Sociedad 3–0 Valencia (2024/2025).

Scorers: Takefusa Kubo 8', Orri Óskarsson 80', Orri Óskarsson 90'.

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 1D · 2L), with Valencia winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 1.6 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Valencia vs Real Sociedad: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Valencia vs Real Sociedad call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.