Valencia 1–2 Villarreal: Result & Analysis

Villarreal beat Valencia 2–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Valencia: 22%, Draw: 29%, Villarreal: 49%. Predicted scoreline was 0–1 (confidence 49%).

The model favours Villarreal (49%) away: they create 1.4 goals/game against Valencia's 1.4 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 0.8–1.3.

Head to Head

Valencia and Villarreal have met 5 times in the records we hold.

24 Oct 2026 — Valencia 1–2 Villarreal (2026/2027).

Scorers: Alex Freeman 69', Georges Mikautadze 90'.

22 Feb 2026 — Villarreal 2–1 Valencia (2025/2026).

Scorers: Santi Comesaña 31'.

25 Oct 2025 — Valencia 0–2 Villarreal (2025/2026).

Scorers: Santi Comesaña 57'.

15 Feb 2025 — Villarreal 1–1 Valencia (2024/2025).

Scorers: Pape Gueye 32', Umar Sadiq 84'.

31 Aug 2024 — Valencia 1–1 Villarreal (2024/2025).

Scorers: Hugo Duro 24', Ayoze Pérez 45'.

Over the last 5 meetings Villarreal hold the edge (0W · 2D · 3L), with Valencia winning 0 of 5 (0%) and averaging 0.8 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Valencia vs Villarreal: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Valencia vs Villarreal call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.