VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund: Result & Analysis

Borussia Dortmund beat VfB Stuttgart 1–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — VfB Stuttgart: 40%, Draw: 23%, Borussia Dortmund: 37%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 40%).

The model favours VfB Stuttgart (41%) at home: they create 2.0 goals/game against Borussia Dortmund's 1.0 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.7–1.6.

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund have met 5 times in the records we hold.

19 Sep 2026 — VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund (2026/2027).

Scorers: Maximilian Beier 70'.

4 Apr 2026 — VfB Stuttgart 0–2 Borussia Dortmund (2025/2026).

Scorers: Karim Adeyemi 90', Julian Brandt 90'.

22 Nov 2025 — Borussia Dortmund 3–3 VfB Stuttgart (2025/2026).

Scorers: Maximilian Beier 41', Deniz Undav 47', Deniz Undav 71', Karim Adeyemi 89'.

8 Feb 2025 — Borussia Dortmund 1–2 VfB Stuttgart (2024/2025).

22 Sep 2024 — VfB Stuttgart 5–1 Borussia Dortmund (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (2W · 1D · 2L), with VfB Stuttgart winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 2 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.