VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 FC Bayern München: Result & Analysis

FC Bayern München beat VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — VfL Wolfsburg: 16%, Draw: 16%, FC Bayern München: 68%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 68%).

The model favours FC Bayern München (68%) away: they create 2.8 goals/game against VfL Wolfsburg's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 1.3–2.7.

Head to Head

VfL Wolfsburg and FC Bayern München have met 4 times in the records we hold.

9 May 2026 — VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 FC Bayern München (2025/2026).

Scorers: Michael Olise 56'.

11 Jan 2026 — FC Bayern München 8–1 VfL Wolfsburg (2025/2026).

Scorers: Kilian Fischer 5', Dzenan Pejcinovic 13', Luis Díaz 30', Michael Olise 50'.

18 Jan 2025 — FC Bayern München 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg (2024/2025).

25 Aug 2024 — VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München (2024/2025).

Over the last 4 meetings FC Bayern München hold the edge (0W · 0D · 4L), with VfL Wolfsburg winning 0 of 4 and averaging 1.2 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.