Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburger SV: Result & Analysis

Werder Bremen beat Hamburger SV 3–1 in the Bundesliga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Werder Bremen: 52%, Draw: 21%, Hamburger SV: 27%. Predicted scoreline was 2–1 (confidence 52%).

The model favours Werder Bremen (52%) at home: they create 1.5 goals/game and Hamburger SV are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.0–1.4.

Head to Head

Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV have met 2 times in the records we hold.

18 Apr 2026 — Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburger SV (2025/2026).

Scorers: Jens Stage 37', Robert Glatzel 41', Jens Stage 57', Cameron Puertas 90'.

7 Dec 2025 — Hamburger SV 3–2 Werder Bremen (2025/2026).

Scorers: Jens Stage 45', Albert Sambi Lokonga 63', Luka Vuskovic 75', Justin Njinmah 78'.

Over the last 2 meetings the rivalry is evenly balanced (1W · 0D · 1L), with Werder Bremen winning 1 of 2 and averaging 2.5 goals per game.

Explore

This Week's Conviction

More on Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.