Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli: Result & Analysis

Fiorentina and Napoli drew 1–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model vs Market

Our statistical model against the market consensus with the margin removed, market by market.

Full Time Result

Away — market 43% at 2.15, model 42%.

Draw — market 28% at 3.30, model 22%.

Home — market 29% at 3.25, model 36%.

Double Chance

Draw or Napoli — market 71% at 1.33, model 64%.

Fiorentina or Draw — market 57% at 1.66, model 58%.

Fiorentina or Napoli — market 71% at 1.33, model 78%.

Draw No Bet

1 — market 39% at 2.37, model 47%.

2 — market 61% at 1.53, model 53%.

Both Teams to Score

No — market 47% at 2.00, model 31%.

Yes — market 53% at 1.75, model 69%.

Goals Over/Under 2.5

Over — market 47% at 2.00, model 70%.

Under — market 53% at 1.80, model 30%.

Explore

Fiorentina stats & form · Napoli stats & form · Serie A predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Fiorentina vs Napoli: Model Picks · Win Probability & Scorelines · Match Centre.

Every Fiorentina vs Napoli call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.