Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli: Result & Analysis
Fiorentina and Napoli drew 1–1 in the Serie A. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.
Our Pre-Match Prediction
Before kick-off the model gave — Fiorentina: 36%, Draw: 22%, Napoli: 42%. Predicted scoreline was 1–2 (confidence 42%).
The model favours Napoli (42%) away: they create 1.5 goals/game and Fiorentina are leaking goals (1.8 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 1.7–1.9.
Head to Head
Fiorentina and Napoli have met 5 times in the records we hold.
20 Sep 2026 — Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli (2026/2027).
Scorers: Billy Gilmour 23', Álex Jiménez 51'.
31 Jan 2026 — Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina (2025/2026).
Scorers: Antonio Vergara 11', Miguel Gutiérrez 49', Manor Solomon 57'.
13 Sep 2025 — Fiorentina 1–3 Napoli (2025/2026).
Scorers: Rasmus Højlund 14', Sam Beukema 51', Luca Ranieri 79'.
9 Mar 2025 — Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina (2024/2025).
4 Jan 2025 — Fiorentina 0–3 Napoli (2024/2025).
Over the last 5 meetings Napoli hold the edge (0W · 1D · 4L), with Fiorentina winning 0 of 5 (0%) and averaging 0.8 goals per game.
Explore
More on Fiorentina vs Napoli: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.
Every Fiorentina vs Napoli call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.