Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Monaco: Result & Analysis

Monaco beat Paris Saint Germain 2–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Player Prop

Vitor Machado Ferreira — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 29 matchs.

Vitor Machado Ferreira (Paris Saint Germain) averaging 0.03 goals/game over 29 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia — UNDER (player_yellow_card 0.5), projected 0.04, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 28 matchs.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (Paris Saint Germain) averaging 0.04 yellow card/game over 28 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

William Joel Pacho Tenorio — UNDER (player_shots 1.5), projected 0.35, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 23 matchs.

William Joel Pacho Tenorio (Paris Saint Germain) averaging 0.35 shots/game over 23 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

William Joel Pacho Tenorio — UNDER (player_shots_on_target 0.5), projected 0.04, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 23 matchs.

William Joel Pacho Tenorio (Paris Saint Germain) averaging 0.04 shots on target/game over 23 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Match Result

Match Result — HOME (match_result), projected 0.85, confidence 85%, LOW risk.

Model favours HOME with 85% probability based on season goals form.

Team Prop

Monaco — OVER (team_clean_sheet 0.5), projected 0.67, confidence 67%, MEDIUM risk, from 3 matchs.

Monaco projected 0.67 clean sheet/game (SeasonStats, n=3); OVER 0.5 (67%).

Explore

Paris Saint Germain stats & form · Monaco stats & form · Ligue 1 predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco: Win Probability & Scorelines · Head-to-Head Record · Match Centre.

Every Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.