Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Monaco: Result & Analysis

Monaco beat Paris Saint Germain 2–1 in the Ligue 1. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Our Pre-Match Prediction

Before kick-off the model gave — Paris Saint Germain: 85%, Draw: 10%, Monaco: 5%. Predicted scoreline was 3–0 (confidence 85%).

The model favours Paris Saint Germain (85%) at home: they create 2.5 goals/game against Monaco's 1.5 conceded/game. With home advantage, projected around 3.2–0.7.

Head to Head

Paris Saint Germain and Monaco have met 5 times in the records we hold.

4 Sep 2026 — Paris Saint Germain 1–2 Monaco (2026/2027).

Scorers: Marquinhos  31', Nazinho 58', Stanis Idumbo 72', Ferran Torres 84'.

6 Mar 2026 — Paris Saint Germain 1–3 Monaco (2025/2026).

Scorers: Maghnes Akliouche 27', Aleksandr Golovin 55', Bradley Barcola 71', Folarin Balogun 73'.

29 Nov 2025 — Monaco 1–0 Paris Saint Germain (2025/2026).

Scorers: Takumi Minamino 68'.

7 Feb 2025 — Paris Saint Germain 4–1 Monaco (2024/2025).

18 Dec 2024 — Monaco 2–4 Paris Saint Germain (2024/2025).

Over the last 5 meetings Monaco hold the edge (2W · 0D · 3L), with Paris Saint Germain winning 2 of 5 (40%) and averaging 2 goals per game.

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This Week's Conviction

More on Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco: Win Probability & Scorelines · Model vs Market · Model Picks · Match Story · Starting Lineups · Referee Stats · Forecast & Player Stats · Head-to-Head Record.

Every Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.