FC Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid: Result & Analysis

Real Madrid beat FC Barcelona 2–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Player Prop

Arda Guler — UNDER (player_yellow_card 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 33 matchs.

Arda Guler (Real Madrid) averaging 0.03 yellow card/game over 33 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Aurélien Tchouaméni — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 33 matchs.

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid) averaging 0.03 goals/game over 33 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Kylian Mbappé Lottin — UNDER (player_tackles 1.5), projected 0.13, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 31 matchs.

Kylian Mbappé Lottin (Real Madrid) averaging 0.13 tackles/game over 31 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Bernardo Mota Veiga de Carvalho e Silva — UNDER (player_shots 1.5), projected 0.2, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 10 matchs.

Bernardo Mota Veiga de Carvalho e Silva (Real Madrid) averaging 0.20 shots/game over 10 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Match Result

Match Result — PASS (match_result), projected 0.45, confidence 45%, HIGH risk.

No clear match result edge (45% for HOME).

Explore

FC Barcelona stats & form · Real Madrid stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid: Win Probability & Scorelines · Head-to-Head Record · Match Centre.

Every FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.