Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction & Preview

Real Madrid face Villarreal in the La Liga. Here is the OmniCoreSports AI model's read on the match.

Match Prediction

Model win probability — Real Madrid: 61%, Draw: 19%, Villarreal: 20%. Predicted scoreline: 2–1 (confidence 61%).

The model favours Real Madrid (61%) at home: they create 1.8 goals/game and Villarreal are leaking goals (1.6 conceded/game). With home advantage, projected around 2.5–1.4.

Player Props

Model projections for the standout individual markets in this match — shots on target, goals, assists and cards.

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

Assists 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 34 games); Goals 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 34 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 79% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 34 games).

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Goals 0.5: 89% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 33 games); Assists 0.5: 76% under (projected 0.3, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 33 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 33 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 81% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 33 games).

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Assists 0.5: 83% under (projected 0.2, SeasonStats over 32 games); Goals 0.5: 67% under (projected 0.4, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Daniel Parejo Muñoz (Villarreal)

Shots on Target 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Thibaut Courtois (Real Madrid)

Yellow Card 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Lucas Vázquez Iglesias (Bayer 04 Leverkusen)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 32 games); Shots on Target 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 32 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 91% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 32 games).

Sergi Cardona Bermúdez (Villarreal)

Goals 0.5: 97% under (projected 0, SeasonStats over 31 games); Assists 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games); Yellow Card 0.5: 88% under (projected 0.1, SeasonStats over 31 games).

See full Real Madrid vs Villarreal predictions — likely scorelines, goals, corners, both teams to score and player props — plus head-to-head and team stats on OmniCoreSports.