Atlético de Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid: Result & Analysis

Atlético de Madrid beat Real Madrid 2–1 in the La Liga. Below is the model's pre-match call on this fixture, published before kick-off, and the analysis behind it.

Model Forecast

Calls the model is confident enough to make, strongest first. Each states the projection behind it and how risky it is.

Player Prop

Arda Guler — UNDER (player_yellow_card 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 33 matchs.

Arda Guler (Real Madrid) averaging 0.03 yellow card/game over 33 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Aurélien Tchouaméni — UNDER (player_goals 0.5), projected 0.03, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 33 matchs.

Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid) averaging 0.03 goals/game over 33 apps; UNDER 0.5 (95%).

Kylian Mbappé Lottin — UNDER (player_tackles 1.5), projected 0.13, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 31 matchs.

Kylian Mbappé Lottin (Real Madrid) averaging 0.13 tackles/game over 31 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

João Lucas de Souza Cardoso — UNDER (player_shots 1.5), projected 0.13, confidence 95%, LOW risk, from 15 matchs.

João Lucas de Souza Cardoso (Atlético de Madrid) averaging 0.13 shots/game over 15 apps; UNDER 1.5 (95%).

Match Result

Match Result — PASS (match_result), projected 0.44, confidence 44%, HIGH risk.

No clear match result edge (44% for AWAY).

Explore

Atlético de Madrid stats & form · Real Madrid stats & form · La Liga predictions this week · This Week's Conviction

More on Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid: Win Probability & Scorelines · Head-to-Head Record · Match Centre.

Every Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid call above was published before kick-off and is graded in our public record, win or lose. Predictions are model estimates for information and entertainment only.